Our AFL Splits cover all active players and include their complete historical game records. We currently offer detailed splits on fantasy scores and +/- (plus/minus) for the following:
- Season Splits – yearly breakdown from each player’s rookie season to present day
- Win/Loss Splits – game result breakdown including win, loss & draw
- Opponent Splits – breakdown of matchups versus all 18 present day teams
- Ground Splits – performance breakdown across all venues throughout a player’s career
There are two options available to users, the first is our AFL Player Splits tool which goes hand in hand with our AFL Gamelogs tool. Much like our gamelogs, this tool allows you to analyse historical trends but much quicker and more efficiently and allows you to delve further back into player’s careers to get that extra edge. It doesn’t replace the gamelogs however as there are more detailed trends that can be analysed using those, some of which we wrote about in our previous Tools Explained post.
The second option available is the AFL Team Splits tool which is designed to show all active players on a nominated team and their detailed record either vs a nominated opponent or at a nominated ground.
To toggle between these two options the links at the top of the page can be used.
Player Name & Team – pretty self-explanatory
Split (Season, Result, Opponent, Ground) – description of splits
Games – career games for the split in question
Average – career fantasy average for the split in question
Adjusted Average*** – career fantasy average for the split in question
+/- (Plus/Minus)*** – actual fantasy score minus historical season average
Average (Last 5)*** – fantasy average over last 5 games relating to the split in question
+/- (Last 5)*** – plus minus over last 5 games relating to the split in question
L1, L2, L3, L4, L5*** – player scores over last 5 games relating to the split in question, L1 being the most recent game (note that where less than 5 games are available, the table will show trailing 0’s)
*** These metrics have all been devised excluding games where players have played less than 50% TOG, this effectively removes games where players have been injured
Examples of Use
Matchups at a Glance
Our AFL Team Splits tool should be one of your first stops when analysing matchups and trying to unearth core players for your team. It’s quite simple identifying value plays in daily fantasy sports where salary hasn’t quite caught up with a player’s output but it’s much more difficult finding those points of difference that will far exceed their salary based expected score. Our AFL Gamelogs are an excellent tool to look at a player’s matchup history when you have already identified that player as someone you want to analyse, however, this tool helps you identify players that are not necessarily on your radar (or the wider fantasy world’s radar either).
For example, at the time of writing Adelaide play Brisbane this weekend, we can very quickly see which Adelaide players perform well against the Lions. There is no surprise to see high scoring players like Rory Laird, Brad Crouch and Rory Sloane in the top five for average vs the Lions. However, if we delve a little deeper the tool highlights some players with very strong form against the Lions that may not necessarily have been on our original radar.
Tom Lynch heads all comers with an average of 104.2 points over 5 games, this improves to 114.8 points once we adjust for games where he has gone off injured early. His recent form against the club indicates that he has returned a score on average 25.8 points more than his season average when playing the Lions. His recent scores (ignoring injury affected games) are shown as 119, 139, 127 & 74.
Now, that +/- of 25.8 points is huge, however, if we head down the table a little further we see that the best +/- over the last 5 matchups in fact belongs to the captain Taylor Walker who averages 31.5 points more than his season average vs the Lions with his last five full games going for 103, 126, 110, 88 & 122.
We can also see that Josh Jenkins is a strong performer vs the Lions in recent times. It’s important to note here that all these players are tall/medium forwards and Adelaide have had the wood over the Lions of late with heavy wins, this may change and as such the next scores of these players may not necessarily reflect their recent form, other factors such as weather may also hinder tall forwards scoring, etc. However, what the tool has quickly and easily done is highlight players that may not necessarily have been on the user’s shortlist and may warrant further analysis and consideration for their lineups.
In the same fashion, players who have poor records against sides can also be identified, for example Bryce Gibbs who has averaged 32.9 points less than their season average in his last five outings vs the Lions. In Gibbs’ case, a new team and key departures from the Lion’s midfield may result in an improved performance but the tool indicates to the user that further research needs to be carried out if they want to consider Gibbs in their side
Note that this tool gives the user not only the ability to analyse teams vs opponents but also allows them to analyse team rosters at a nominated ground.
Season Long Competitions – Captaincy & Trade Decisions
For those of you that use our tools for season long AFL Fantasy or Real Dream Team competitions, the AFL Player Splits tool is excellent in helping you make those all-important decisions. Identifying a captain is made simpler with this tool as we can easily identify which opponents an individual performs well against and which they don’t. A captain should have an attractive Average (Last 5) and +/- (Last 5) metric which indicates strong performance vs that opponent over the last 2-3 years. Normally a coach will have shortlisted 2 or 3 players on their roster that they may hand the captaincy to on a given weekend and as such they can analyse the performance of these players vs that week’s matchup with ease. For example, Tom Mitchell who is a perennial favourite of coaches is a no-brainer most week’s, especially vs Collingwood who he averages 147.6 (+29.7) against in his last 5 vs the Magpies. However, if that week he is coming up against his former side in Sydney, an alternative captain may be more suitable as he averages 40.1 (+/-) points less than his season average vs them throughout his career.
In much the same way, this tool can be used to identify players who are strong trade targets by reviewing their history vs their opponents for the rounds ahead.
As Always, Gamble Responsibly